Comment of the Day: Oops! Apocalypse Edition

Orwell Shirt

Today’s is from That American Chap following Digby’s excellent post about the US media’s suggestion that a war with Iran would somehow occur accidentally, and that the moment to act is NOW.

The Chap’s comment echoes what I’ve been saying for some time, but does so a damned sight more concisely and urgently.

It’s been clear to me for at least two years that we would be going to war (and a nuke one at that) with Iran and that nothing, not the failure in Iraq, not the clear evidence of how they lied the Iraq war into existence, would stop it.

When you say that “we’d better get ready to see our lives change in fundamental ways”, you’re spot on… but I doubt that you really grasp how dark the future is (you’d be screaming at the top of your lungs if you really knew), just how devastating our nuking of Iran will be for the US! The rest of the planet will regard us (for the next couple of hundred years) as the guys who one-upped the Nazis in the contest to see who could be the most despised villains in history.

The neo-cons (why aren’t these clowns serving life terms in prisons for the criminally insane?) still think that the best route for us is to grab up as many of the world’s oil fields as we can (yes, all of that sniping at Venezuela is a tip-off that we’ll be going there in the “cause of freedom”, aka- stealing their oil) and that all of this bullying will make us the world’s hyper-power for a thousand year reich.

The problem with this theory is that, like all neo-con thoughts, it is only “thunk” from the perspective of people who have an exceedingly incomplete picture of reality. Remember how the whole middle east was going to bow down to us and surrender when the awesome majesty of our military might was shown to them? What steaming-hot bullshit THAT turned out to be! We’ve shown them *way* too much and now they see us as a paper tiger (and outside of nuking the rest of the planet, we simply aren’t good at these long distance, long-termed wars, are we?) who can be ground down with snipers and IED’s.

They (the neo-cons) picture the rest of the world as helpless victims of our power when, in fact, *we’re* the fragile ones. Once we nuke Iran, the rest of the world will understand, without any doubt, that we’re out to grab the oil…and this will outrage them. They will band together against us and simply boycott every American product and turn in the dollars they’re holding for the currencies of China and the European Union. This will vaporize the buying power of the dollar and shatter our economy beyond repair. Martial law and civil war will occupy the American homeland and the troops that the neocons envisioned blitzing through the middle-east will be called home to patrol their own country.

Trust me on this, we’re in for a shitstorm the likes of which you only ever pictured reading about in some absurdly dark novel. If you have any brains (and I assume that your presence here is an indicator that you do), you’d better wave off the fog of “it can’t happen here” because it, in fact, IS happening here. Take whatever disposable cash you have and turn those faltering dollars into something real, canned food, shotguns, batteries, medical supplies, motor oil, anything practical that you’ll be able to use or to barter with in the future. If this sounds like hysteria to you, think again, the most powerful weapon that the rest of the world has to use against us is our own dollar, and when we make ourselves into complete monsters by nuking Iran, they will use that weapon to paralyze us, to defang us, to cause us internal agonies that will stop our aggression.

Don’t just stand there slack-jawed, watching this go down in a state of horrified fascination, get your ass in gear and do what you can to position your family and friends to be able to survive the coming nightmare as best they can!
That American Chap | 02.01.07 – 4:28 pm | #

Quite.

Oy, the number of posts I’ve written in the past, bewailing the smug complacency of the mushy middle of American left politics and warning grimly. but knowing the innefectuality of it, that although Bushco might be incompetent they are also utterly ruthless and without conscience; that America was going to be in a very bad place indeed before the populace woke up and that when they did it’d be too late; and so it’s proved.

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Tick, Tick Tick……. Boom?

Can it be true? Is  Bush’s ‘accountability moment’ closer than we thought?

All of a sudden and without very much warning the Bush administration has been neatly checkmated by prosecutor Patrick Fitzgerald in the Scooter Libby perjury trial. All week the prosecutor has been demolishing Scooter Libby’s memory lapse defence, forcing Libby into his fallback position , that  ‘Rove did it and ran away and I’m being blamed, waaah’.

This defence means that both Rove and Cheney have now been subpoenaed to appear as witnesses, the first time they will be publicly grilled on events surrounding Plame and Bush’s war lies.

Both Karl Rove and Dick Cheney will be compelled to testify under oath about their deliberate outing of one of their own country’s secret agents, Valerie Plame. It’s alleged by the prosecution that they leaked the information just to get political revenge on her ex-husband, who had exposed the administration’s blatant lie that Saddam Hussein had attempted to obtain uranium to build  nuclear weapons. This untruth was a central component of their dishonest and illegal attempts to concoct a casus belli to justify the preemptive invasion of Iraq.

Their problem now – and it seems the White House hadn’t anticipated it, which tells you all you need to know about Harriet Miers’ tenure as WH Chief counsel – is that,  because Libby’s defence consists of the argument that Rove did it and Libby’s the scapegoat, this implies a conspiracy between the Oval office and Dick Cheney, which in turn implicates Bush. Cheney must’ve colluded with both Bush and Rove in blaming his own closest aide , and though it’s Cheney and Rove who’ll actually be on the stand being publicly interrogated, it’s a whole can of worms Bush himeslf would really rather not have opened.

And they’re just two of the witnesses likely to be called to testify. Still to come are many other WH officials and mebers of the Republican nomenklatura, all of whom have their own hides to protect. Former WH press spokesman Ari Fleischer for instance was so concerned about his own skin he refused to testify without a guarantee of immunity.

Bush must be worrying himself sick as nemesis closes in on him. No wonder he looks so dreadful, thin and old. I doubt he’s getting his 12 hour nightly sleep unassisted. Now the trial is about to reach the point where he must do something desperate, like issuing a pardon, to save himself and his closest cronies from public exposure as the criminals they are.

This coming week will see some real nail-biting stuff. Will Cheney & Rove lie under oath to save Bush’s skin, damning Libby? Will their fervid loyalty carry them through perjuring themselves? If they do, will Libby drop the whole cabal into the shit? How far will prosecutor Fitzgerald question Rove & Cheney about the rationale for the war and Bush’s role in that?

So what are Bush’s options at this dangerous stage? Of course Bush, wielding his doubtfully-acquired Presidential powers, could end all this by fiat and pardon Libby tomorrow. Murray Waas thinks this course of action is what Libby’s lawyers are signalling to the WH with their tactics so far.

But why would they do that? Although a pardon would solve a number of his problems, for Libby this would mean he’d admitted guilt. This has the potential to ruin him financially, as a presidential pardon doesn’t preclude the bringing of any civil suit that results from the crime pardoned. That really would be a desperate move.

But Bush’s dilemma is that, although a pardon may halt the prosecution and the inconvenient revelations about his lies, it will cause a political furore. But why should Bush give  a fig for that, as long as his little local difficulty is over and Cheney & Rove kept off the stand? 

It’s always been his way – get a job by nepotism or other dubious means, royally screw it up with incompetence and dishonesty, then run away leaving things in a shambles. Rely on the resulting chaos to mask culpabilty and save his ass and if that doesn’t work, crank up the Republican noise machine.

Will the same strategy work for him this time, or will the WH let the trial go ahead and Rove and Cheney lie under oath? I don’t know, but I can’t wait to see what happens.

But one other eventuality than a pardon occurs to me – over this past couple of weeks, the administration has been quietly firing politically independent US federal prosecutors (8 so far), and replacing them with loyal Republican apparatchiks.

These handpicked and underqualified party loyalists don’t require confirmation by Congress, thanks to a nifty clause slipped into a totally unrelated piece of legislation by a loyal Republican senator. How very cunning of him in the light of those attorneys being in the midst of prosecuting any number of Republican misdeeds. I doubt he thought of that on his own.

Bush may not have to pardon Libby at all, just fire Patrick Fitzgerald instead.

Personally I really, really want to see Cheney on the stand, as do lots of people. It’ll be standing room only for  Fitz v Cheney, the OK corral de nos jours, and if his recent combative appearances on television are any guide, it ‘ll be nothing if not entertaining. Personally I hope Cheney gets so apopletic that a mere lawyer dares to call him to account that he has a stroke and keels over right there in his chair. 

But will the trial even get that far? Has Bush got the gall to step in and stop it?  We’ll just have to wait and see.

UPDATE: Josh Marshall says he knows why Ari Fleischer soght immunity:

It turns out Ari Fleischer will be the next witness, once court resumes Monday. (Damn, just missed him!) The defense team wants to note—for the jury’s benefit—that Fleischer demanded immunity before he would agree to testify, because this might cast Fleischer’s testimony in a different light.

And here Fitzgerald makes a nice little chess move: Fine, he says, we can acknowledge that Fleischer sought immunity. As long as we explain why. Turns out Fleischer saw a story in the Washington Post suggesting that anyone who revealed Valerie Plame’s identity might be subject to the death penalty. And he freaked.

Heh.

Scooter Libby’s Defence: “Evil Dick Made Me Do It, Waaah!”

Libby&Cheney

We’ve had our differences in the past, but that doesn’t detract from my appreciation of Firedoglake’s superb coverage of former Cheney assistant Scooter Libby’s trial for perjury over the outing of CIA undecover agent Valerie Plame during the Niger Uranium scandal..

Here’s a sample:

The first opening statement was given today by the prosecution, with Patrick Fitzgerald leading off for the government. His opening was concise, very tightly constructed, and left no doubt that he was very clear about the reasons for which he sought an indictment for I. Lewis Libby from the federal grand jury for the five count indictment returned last October. Fitzgerald’s style presents as someone who puts together the pieces of the puzzle until they fit together as a tight whole — and he certainly tried to do that with his opening this morning.

The stage was set from the start of the opening with regard to pushback against Amb. Joseph Wilson, whose op-ed in the New York Times (and his earlier unattributed quotes to other journalists) went to the heart of the credibility of the Bush Administration’s foundation — or lack thereof — for starting the war in Iraq. Fitzgerald walked the jury back to the “sixteen words” in the President’s State of the Union address on January 28, 2003 — and the fact that Amb. Joseph Wilson’s allegations brought the possiblity that the President lied to the American public in that speech right into the living rooms of average Americans.

Because that credibility was being challenged so close to the 2004 election cycle, because the credibility the Dick Cheney in particulr was being directly questioned, there was substantial pushback from the White House, and especially from the office of the Vice President, and Scooter Libby was tasked with getting that message out to the media.

Fitzgerald walked the jurors through the five felony charges — obstruction of justice, two counts of false statements, and two counts of perjury — and the elements of each of these charges that the government is required to prove. Fitzgerald then went through the expected evidence and testimony from various government witnesses by placing each into context on a timeline that very methodically, and effectively, laid out the government case against Libby.
More…

Libby’s defence counsel came up with something unexpected: rather than just using the ‘I’m an Important Politician, I can’t be expected to remember everything’ defence to the charge of perjury, he’s going for the ‘It wasn’t me and anyway I was only following orders’ argument as the WaPo reports:

The mission of Mr. Wells, in contrast, was to present the case as hopelessly complicated, thus leaving the jurors in doubt about the validity of the charges. Mr. Wells spoke for nearly two and a half hours, ranging over issues of the reliability of memory; Mr. Libby’s duties, which during the relevant period included crises in Liberia and Turkey; and threats from Al Qaeda on the days that Mr. Libby spoke to reporters.

But his most startling comment was his assertion that Mr. Libby had become enmeshed in legal difficulty because of White House efforts to protect Mr. Rove.

If Mr. Libby and his lawyers press their strategy of blaming the White House, it could prove risky, possibly even jeopardizing chances of a presidential pardon for Mr. Libby if he is convicted.

Mr. Libby, Mr. Wells said, complained to Vice President Dick Cheney that he was being set up as a fall guy. Mr. Cheney supported that view, Mr. Wells said, and handwrote a note saying, “Not going to protect one staffer + sacrifice the guy who was asked to stick his neck in the meat grinder because of the incompetence of others.”

Oooh, the White House isn’t going to like that….

[Rubs hands together in glee]

Looks like the slime are turning on each other on both sides of the Atlantic.

[cartoon from the Illustrated Daily Scribble]