{"id":11734,"date":"2026-10-08T10:35:12","date_gmt":"2026-10-08T15:35:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cloggie.org\/wissewords2\/?p=11734"},"modified":"2026-10-08T10:35:12","modified_gmt":"2026-10-08T15:35:12","slug":"ai-threat-or-menace-tracking-with-closeups","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cloggie.org\/wissewords2\/2026\/10\/08\/ai-threat-or-menace-tracking-with-closeups\/","title":{"rendered":"AI: Threat or Menace &#8212; Tracking with Closeups"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\n<a href=\"www.faros.ai\/blog\/ai-acceleration-whiplash-takeaways\">The Ai Acceleration Whiplash<\/a>\n<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cloggie.org\/wissewords2\/wp-content\/uploads\/the-AI-acceleration-Whiplash.jpg\" alt=\"The AI Accelaration whiplash: output is off but productivity is declining\" width=\"794\" height=\"1000\" \/><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\nThe AI Engineering Report 2026 is not a survey of how developers feel about AI. It is a measurement of what AI is actually producing across the full software development lifecycle, tracking metric change between periods of lowest and highest AI adoption within each organization.<br \/>\nWhat it found has a name: the Acceleration Whiplash. AI has flooded a system built around human-paced development and human-quality code with output it was never designed to absorb.\n<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/arstechnica.com\/ai\/2025\/07\/study-finds-ai-tools-made-open-source-software-developers-19-percent-slower\/\">Study finds AI tools made open source software developers 19 percent slower<\/a>:\n<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\nBefore performing the study, the developers in question expected the AI tools would lead to a 24 percent reduction in the time needed for their assigned tasks. Even after completing those tasks, the developers believed that the AI tools had made them 20 percent faster, on average. In reality, though, the AI-aided tasks ended up being completed 19 percent slower than those completed without AI tools.\n<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\nFindings backed up by more <a href=\"https:\/\/fion.ac\/jellyfish.pdf\">recent researtch<\/a> (PDF) from Harvard:\n<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\nWe study the impacts of AI coding assistants and agents on software engineering work, usinga novel proprietary dataset from an engineering analytics platform, covering 300 million work events \u2014 including GitHub coding activity, Jira issues, and Google Calendar events \u2014 across 718 firms. We use a staggered difference-in-differences design, exploiting variation in firmlevel adoption timing of AI coding assistants and agents. Both technologies increase coding productivity. However, productivity gains do not fully pass through to changes in software output or employment. For AI agents, this incomplete pass-through reflects a bottleneck from code review: review times increase, a larger share of code updates require revisions, and reviews involve more comments. We develop a model of software production to structure these results, in which AI affects both productivity and quality of intermediate outputs, and in turn can generate a review bottleneck and limit pass-through.\n<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><center><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"bluesky-embed\" data-bluesky-uri=\"at:\/\/did:plc:mvrpowgusvawa3szrg7cmy3t\/app.bsky.feed.post\/3m4egetadr22l\" data-bluesky-cid=\"bafyreiclxlsg3d34sygfnnmanu5l2elxu4arh27hhnah73q2nfwqebv7r4\" data-bluesky-embed-color-mode=\"system\">\n<p lang=\"en\">AI sitcom accidentally a Lynchian fever dream. The sort of general malaise that only the genius possess and insane lament.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/did:plc:mvrpowgusvawa3szrg7cmy3t\/post\/3m4egetadr22l?ref_src=embed\">[image or embed]<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; \ud835\udd3b\ud835\udd52\ud835\udd5f  \ud83c\udfc8\ud83c\udf7b\ud83d\udc80 (<a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/did:plc:mvrpowgusvawa3szrg7cmy3t?ref_src=embed\">@danmynrd.bsky.social<\/a>) <a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/did:plc:mvrpowgusvawa3szrg7cmy3t\/post\/3m4egetadr22l?ref_src=embed\">October 29, 2025 at 10:47 PM<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/embed.bsky.app\/static\/embed.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/ai-project-website.github.io\/AI-assistance-reduces-persistence\/\">AI assistance reduces persistence and impairs independent performance<\/a>:\n<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\n AI assistance reduces persistence and impairs independent performance: After brief AI-assisted sessions (~10 minutes), participants were significantly more likely to give up on problems and performed significantly worse once the AI was removed, compared to participants who never had AI assistance.<br \/>\nEffects are concentrated among users who seek direct solutions: Persistence costs were concentrated among participants who prompted AI to solve tasks for them directly. Using AI for hints or clarifications did not produce significant impairments.<br \/>\nEffects generalize across domains: Effects replicated across fraction arithmetic and reading comprehension, suggesting it is a general consequence of AI-assisted problem solving, not specific to any particular task.\n<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/gizmodo.com\/the-rise-of-ai-is-making-life-even-harder-for-real-people-in-gaza-2000607395\">The Rise of AI Is Making Life Even Harder for Real People in Gaza <\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\nThe 22-year-old has endured almost two years of war in Gaza, as Israel continues an assault that has killed at least 57,000 people and left the territory of 2 million on the brink of starvation. Saeed has been raising money online to feed his family. But many people on social media have been convinced that he isn\u2019t real at all. They believe he\u2019s an AI-generated creation, used by scammers to get donations through crowdfunding platforms from well-meaning people. And in a world where AI videos and images have flooded our digital spaces, it\u2019s easy to understand why some people are so skeptical.\n<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s44168-026-00411-0\">AI-driven productivity gains enable more CO\u2082 emissions than they avoid<\/a>:\n<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\nUnder parallel adoption scenarios, net annual CO\u2082 emissions increase by 0.47\u20131.8 gigatonnes (1.2\u20134.8% of 2024 global energy-related CO\u2082 emissions). Enabled emissions exceed avoided emissions whenever fossil-sector gains are nonzero; net emissions reductions require renewables gains 4\u20135\u00d7 greater than fossil fuel gains. Absent policy steering, AI\u2019s modeled effects increase the carbon intensity of the global economy and reinforce fossil fuel incumbency\u2014outcomes that current analytical and governance frameworks do not fully capture.\n<\/p><\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Ai Acceleration Whiplash The AI Engineering Report 2026 is not a survey of how developers feel about AI. It is a measurement of what AI is actually producing across the full software development lifecycle, tracking metric change between periods of lowest and highest AI adoption within each organization. What it found has a name: [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[469],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11734","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-it-is-not-magic-pixiedust"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cloggie.org\/wissewords2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11734","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cloggie.org\/wissewords2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cloggie.org\/wissewords2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cloggie.org\/wissewords2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cloggie.org\/wissewords2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11734"}],"version-history":[{"count":20,"href":"https:\/\/cloggie.org\/wissewords2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11734\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11756,"href":"https:\/\/cloggie.org\/wissewords2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11734\/revisions\/11756"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cloggie.org\/wissewords2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11734"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cloggie.org\/wissewords2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11734"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cloggie.org\/wissewords2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11734"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}